Dear
Client:
If you want lower energy bills... Conservation is
your only real option.
High prices will be around for a while. Oil's recent
downtrend won't continue. It's the result
partly
of a
modest improvement in inventory levels before winter
sets in, and partly of some traders taking profits
on a rally that put prices over $55 a barrel.
The core factors haven't changed much: Demand is
strong, fueled by fast growth
in China, India and other developing countries.
But supplies are still constrained. Output in
Saudi Arabia has maxed out. Big gains
in Russia and elsewhere won’t come soon.
And the risk of disruption is high, in Nigeria,
Venezuela, Russia and the Mideast. That’s adding
about $10 to a barrel of oil.
As a result, oil will average about $40 a barrel through 2005, only a tad
less than this year. In fact, a return to the
mid-$20s... the norm for the mid-1980s to
mid-2003...will remain a pipe dream.
For most
fuels, refinery bottlenecks spell record-high prices
(before accounting for inflation) in the months
ahead: Heating oil, at an average of $1.95/gal. this
winter, up 35% from last year. Gasoline
and diesel, climbing to $2.25 and $2.50,
respectively, by Memorial Day.
As for
natural gas...new nominal records each winter for
years. This winter, figure on a national
average price of $7 per million Btu.
Fortunately, there's still lots most firms can do to
trim use. And, because fuel prices will stay high,
even costly moves can pay off. Existing
technologies can improve energy efficiency by about
20%.
Among the most effective and economical options:
Motion sensors.
At about $25 each, they turn off lights, copiers,
etc., in empty rooms.
High-efficiency fluorescent fixtures can trim
lighting bills 50%.
Nighttime
water chillers reduce air-cooling expenses up to
30%. Upgrading air-conditioning systems cuts $1/year
per square foot of space.
Low-friction, adjustable-speed motors use 10% to 20%
less power.
And
turning to "green" building designs for new
construction. Energy-efficient buildings are
tremendous cost savers from day one.
Not sure where to begin? Get an energy audit for expert advice... free
from the Energy Dept. for manufacturers with annual
energy bills under $2 million. Others should contact
their local utility companies.
If your
firm uses trucks, try SmartWay Transport Partnership
at the EPA for solid info on fuel-efficient
technologies and practices.